The 2010s: Change was the Mantra
The 2010s were a period of great political turbulence. For a decade, we were passengers on a political rollercoaster with dramatic turns shaping the political atmosphere, the rise of political insurgents and their eventual falls, and all with such speed. The Governments of the 2010s were marked by small or no majorities. A big cause for this was the rise, and in most cases fall, of third parties. The 2010s were really an unpredictable period of British political history, and yet, it will also be remembered as a Conservative decade where we saw the same party stay in office, even if it would do so with three different leaders and a remarkably different gleam to the one that took office in 2010.
Notably, the 2010s were filled with ambitious campaigns for change. The Liberal Democrats, who had for two decades been the main vehicle for political reform entered office. Closely followed campaigns which reached their peak for Scottish Independence and independence from the European Union, both of which were driven by third political parties in the SNP and UKIP. Then in 2015 Jeremy Corbyn became leader of the Labour Party, offering a very different vision for Britain driven by a socialist lens. Finally, Boris Johnson entered office in 2019 offering a new vision of levelling up and changing the country’s status on the world stage in a world of Brexit opportunities. For most of these, there were mixed results on how successful they proved to be.
There are two fascinating readings you can make into the 2010s that seem very much contradictory. On the one hand the decade was defined by the return of the two-party system. 2010 had seen the smallest combined vote share of the Conservatives and Labour, yet just two election cycles later in 2017, the Conservatives and Labour achieved their greatest combined vote share in 47 years. Furthermore, the breakthrough of third political parties such as the Liberal Democrats in 2010 entering office and UKIP winning the 2014 European Elections were more noteworthy for their ability to essentially get wiped out in subsequent elections.
An alternative reading of the success of third parties however would stress just how politics has been changed in the last decade by these third parties. The SNP were able to endure after reaching their peak in 2015 when they went from 6 MPs in 2010 to 56 MPs. They have also gone on to be able to win a majority of Scottish seats in parliament in the two general elections since. Furthermore, in 2019 after just 5 months of creation, the Brexit Party were able to win a national election in the 2019 European elections, following on from UKIP’s footsteps in 2014. Arguably this victory invigorated support for Boris Johnson and dramatically changed the direction of the Conservative Party. Outside of electoral success, third parties have been huge parts of major changes in our society, from the Liberal Democrats key role in the 2013 legalisation of same-sex marriage to the 2016 Brexit referendum which became a major issue following the successes of UKIP in Britain.
The 2010s were a unique time of turbulence in our party system, but however remarkable or unremarkable these third parties were in terms of their electoral success across the entire decade, they changed the fabric of the two parties themselves. From the SNP hindering Labour’s stranglehold on Scotland where they used to be able to rely on over 40 seats consistently going down to just 1, to the Brexit Party which became a major pressure on the future of the Conservative Party, the impact of third parties takes multiple form, both electorally, and through their actions.
Credible Third Parties: Building up the Third Coalition
Voters and political actors wanting to make radical political change can often find themselves using an avenue outside of the two party system due to a natural belief that as these two parties are the status quo, real dramatic change can only occur outside of these two vessels. Yet most simultaneously understand that every government in the last hundred years has had the Conservatives or Labour Party in control (at least as a senior partner). Because of this there is a naïve view that, for instance as a voter, it is better to pick from a bad pair than waste your vote on a third party that might deliver change. There’s also a lot to be said that the Liberal Democrats in their coalition with the Conservatives had a big impact in declining the reputation of third parties on political change. Looking at an issue such as tuition fees, they fell in line rather than sticking to their guns once in office which had a really dramatic impact on the reputation of the party. The challenge for third parties comes down primarily to one word: credibility.
Most third parties are hindered by the fact they lack credibility. Most people would agree that of the huge swathe of third parties in the United Kingdom, very few will ever make a breakthrough and make an actual impact on national politics. For those who reside in these small parties which rarely have much, if any representation even at a local level, it doesn’t seem to phase them. Often the members of such parties are very principled individuals who find sticking to what they believe in far more important than coalescing together in order to have an impact on the political atmosphere. This is why often these third parties are mired by splits and infighting. For instance, from 2017 onwards UKIP without the unifying figure of Farage broke down. Following 2017 where its vote share dropped by over 80% of its 2015 figure, it saw a split in the subsequent leadership election where the runner up split off to found her own political party ‘For Britain’. Similarly in the European Parliament caucus, MEPs split off to join smaller minor parties most Brits have never come across such as the SDP, Libertarian Party and the Thurrock Independents.
The two main parties are often described as being broadchurches and actually one thing cited as a benefit of being a third party is that you don’t have to try to be broadchurch. Yet, the reality is, most successful third parties find themselves having to form large coalitions of support still. For instance UKIP was united behind a single message of euroscepticism, while the Liberal Democrats have been able to keep people together behind being the vessel of political reform, the vessel of social liberalism and more recently being fanatically in favour of the EU. The Liberal Democrats provide a perfect example of third parties coalescing with the SDP and the Liberals merging in 1988 following a disappointing election in 1987. Furthermore, they proved that being a larger coalition was more viable long term, despite an early by-election in which the continuity version of the SDP were able to beat them in their first by-election tes. The sheer political force of the larger coalition of the Liberal Democrats, with more people and funding, were able to overcome that early electoral challenge and in an actual general election far surpass the rival continuity versions of these minor parties.
In terms of the Scottish Nationalist Party, arguably the most successful third party in Britain at the moment, they benefited similarly to how UKIP did: keeping party discipline and unity behind a single issue of Scottish nationalism. Even though today the Scottish Green Party and the Alba Party provide alternative opportunities for nationalists, Alba for instance has failed to make any ground at all in spite of the big name of Alex Salmond. Part of the major success of the SNP has been its ability to adapt with the party originally leaning to the right, but realigning to the left in the last few decades in order to better represent Scottish voters. The success of the SNP has been undoubtedly the biggest demonstration of third party prowess, spurred on by the recently created Scottish Parliament which has allowed it to to stay relevant, and within a political system designed to accommodate for numerous parties. The referendum in 2014 on Scottish independence tells us just how successful this third party was in being decisive in government decision making and putting the issue of Scottish independence onto the table. Third parties really can have a political impact, but their success all too often relies on their ability to diversify with a unifying figurehead, issue or ideology.
Final Remarks
In this short article I’ve tried to establish two different things. First of all, third parties can influence politics. The 2010s have demonstrated a period of time where third parties came in and out of fashion, but their ability to bring issues to light and enter offices of government really made an impact. I then tried to argue the importance of having third parties which are large coalitions. Without diversification of third political parties they are unable to garner enough support and attention and continue to remain small clubs of powerless people.
Political reform is something I believe in strongly and when looking at the records of previous governments, it is difficult to expect the two main political parties to be serious at political reform when it is likely to hurt them. Within Scotland it has been seen that adopting a new political system to the Westminster model can change the way in which politics is conducted but that this happens at the detriment of the Conservatives and Labour. Expecting either of these two parties to hurt themselves in order to better the way in which we do politics is rather naive.
Bringing that together, there is a real place for a diverse third political party to offer an avenue of political change. People should not feel as though they need to vote, campaign or fund the two party system when we have seen in recent years just how impactful third parties can be on our politics. Third parties can have their place in British politics. For now it is a difficult road to travel, for the system works so much against their goals, but for any politically engaged person, I hope that the takeaway from this article is that you do not need to capitulate to the two party system, and that it is perfectly legitimate to support a third party without undermining your own political intentions.